A Bayesian framework for the analysis of cospeciation

TitleA Bayesian framework for the analysis of cospeciation
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2000
AuthorsHuelsenbeck, JP, Rannala B, Larget B
JournalEvolution
Volume54
Pages352-364
Journal DateApr
Accession Number45005
KeywordsAnimals; Bayes Theorem ; DNA ; host parasite ; Lice/physiology ; Models, Genetic ; Monte Carlo Method ; Research Support, Non-P.H.S. ; Research Support, P.H.S. ; Rodentia/parasitology, U.S. Gov't
AbstractInformation on the history of cospeciation and host switching for a group of host and parasite species is contained in the DNA sequences sampled from each. Here, we develop a Bayesian framework for the analysis of cospeciation. We suggest a simple model of host switching by a parasite on a host phylogeny in which host switching events are assumed to occur at a constant rate over the entire evolutionary history of associated hosts and parasites. The posterior probability density of the parameters of the model of host switching are evaluated numerically using Markov chain Monte Carlo. In particular, the method generates the probability density of the number of host switches and of the host switching rate. Moreover, the method provides information on the probability that an event of host switching is associated with a particular pair of branches. A Bayesian approach has several advantages over other methods for the analysis of cospeciation. In particular, it does not assume that the host or parasite phylogenies are known without error; many alternative phylogenies are sampled in proportion to their probability of being correct.

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